The third base vita of the Tor is in Donnas. This is more or less the halfway point. Runners have covered there 44 km with 1383 D+. And we have intermediate times in Chardonney.
Let’s see what we can learn from this first stage. What are the fastest times this far?
Fastest times in Chardonney:
Karrera Iker 21:50 (2013)
Colle Franco 22:06 (2013)
Trivel Lionel 22:34 (2013)
This are simply the numbers 1, 3 and 4 from 2013.
Fastest times in Donnas:
Karrera Iker 24:23 (2013)
Colle Franco 24:29 (2013)
Trivel Lionel 25:02 (2013)
Fastest times between Cogne and Donnas:
Favre Corinne 6:28 (2010)
Colle Franco 6:36 (2013)
Bohard Patrick 6:47 (2013)
Trivel Lionel 6:49 (2013)
Fastest times between Cogne and Chardonney:
Favre Corinne 2:20 (2010)
Colle Franco 4:13 (2013)
Bohard Patrick 4:15 (2013)
Mangaretto Marco 4:20 (2013)
That time of Corinne is of course impossible. Her timing for leaving Cogne is probably wrong.
Fastest times between Chardonney and Donnas:
Colle Franco 2:23 (2013)
Perez Oscar 2:24 (2012)
Perez Oscar 2:28 (2013)
Trivel Lionel 2:28 (2013)
Simply the front runners. There are no well rested runners from Cogne that kick up the pace to something faster than the front runners.
We start to see a band structure. Still very wide, so predictions can be rather far off. But at least a ballpack finish time becomes possible.
There is no time limit in Chardonney, but you should run below 52 hours to have a fighting chance. This is 2 pm on Tuesday.
Suddenly all the years look similar. So it doesn’t really matter how fast people start in the early stages. This is what it starts to look like after a while. The bulk of runners passes Chardonney after about 48 hours.
The time limit to reach Donnas is 62 hours. To have a reasonable chance you should be there in less than 58 hours.
Looks the same as Chardonney. The bulk of runners arrives in Donnas after 52 hours of running.
Some plots to help you predict how long it will take to get to the next aid station with timing. The times depend on the amount of darkness and are highly variable if people sleep along the way.
I am sure that you can deduce a reasonable estimate from that.
Time in Donnas
To finish the discussion of leg 3, some more records. This time of the people that stayed in Donnas for the longest time and still finished.
Scaranari Andrea 14:43 (2013)
Hamelinck Wouter 10:40 (2010)
Van Wetter Renaud 9:43 (2010)
Grange Guiseppe 9:40 (2010)
We’re the best. Very impressive is Giuseppe Grange, who still ran to a 12th place.
And to finish a plot to predict how long a runner will stay in the base vita depending on the time he arrived.
We see again that people sleep a longer time at night.